From "Patrick Q. Collins"<collins@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Date Tue, 17 Jan 2006 19:04:54 +0900
Cc collins@xxxxxxxxxxxxx

Warmest congratulations, Adriano, and best wishes for 
the first TdF Conference.  A great step - and surely the 
first of a series that will run for decades!  :-)

By the way, Is there a formal Reference I can use for 
the Pregnant Earth Theory?  I find myself referring to 
it more and more frequently, but as you know, when 
writing it is useful to have a hard reference.  Please
let me know if there is one already - I apologise for
being so ignorant.  Perhaps we can put it up in the Space
Future library?  If there is not yet, then please draft
even a precis of the idea and we will put that up.

Very best,


> Dear Co-planetaries,
> First of all let me announce the First International Convention of
> Technologies of the Frontier, that will be held the April 1st 2006, in the
> medieval castle of Moncrivello (Piedmont, North Italy).
> It is a not a "conventional convention". We planned it as a fusion between
> Vision, Science and Art. From 9.30 am to 22:00 pm, we will have talks on
> philosophical themes, economics, technologies, and artistic contributes:
> visual artists and musicians (both jazz and classical) will present their
> projects inspired by Space and Astronautic.
> Some of the biggest names of the emerging Space Economy will be present.
> Among others:
> - Jim Benson, of Space Dev (the constructor of the engine of SpaceShipOne,
> winner of the X-Prize)
> - Patrick Collins, of SpaceFuture, forerunner of the Space Tourism and SPS
> themes
> - Steven Wolfe, US astronautical philosopher, member of the Congressional
> Space Caucus, board of directors of the National Space Society
> - Aerospace Italian Industry and Research: CIRA, CGS, Blue, In and Out 
> Space, and others
> - Universities engaged in the aerospace research, like the Politecnico of
> Torino
> - Researchers and Entrepreneurs in the fields of Astronautics and Space
> Tourism
> Subscribe quickly!: the castle is not very big, and places are limited!
> Furthermore, we need to know enough in advance the number of the
> participants, in order to work with a minimum needed budget, to dimension
> some convention services (buffet, video recording, etc.)
> Very much courage it took to organize such a convention in Italy, for
> people, as we are, which have all their professional engagements, and for a
> magazine that hasn't big sponsors, and it lives only thanks to the voluntary
> work of the editorial staff.
> Therefore we ask you to help us, and to participate in big number!
> Register on the web site web of the convention.
> Follows an abstract of the newsletter, that you can read whole online
> ( ).
> At the beginning of 2003, we asked to forecast the best future and the worse
> future in 2033 ( ).
> The 2033 that I dream of, and that all sincere humanists, I believe, dream
> with me, sees the philosophy of the open world in full development, the
> space economy soundly on its way, with a perspective of practically
> boundless growth, the planetary conflicts moving towards solution and the
> environmental problems at least lightening, thanks to a progressive decrease
> in pressure on the ecosystem of this planet, since we will have begun to
> transfer elsewhere the weight of our growth (see A millennium of growth of
> the civilization  ).
> The worst 2033 is, instead, an apocalyptic scenery: the world remaining
> closed, economy with neither space nor resources to expand, all conflicts
> worsening, authoritarianism and barbarity progressively regaining their
> positions, and our civilization entering an irreversible, regressive vortex.
> I also wrote: in a closed world, with a human population of around 8
> billion, the economic, the social, and the energy problems, (both of
> resources and environmental) will drown us; the economy will fail, and we
> will no longer have the money for space. But, also, we won't have the
> imagination, the necessary cultural freshness, to expand into
> extraterrestrial space. The time window favourable for the first footsteps
> of our civilization toward the stars, opened in the 50's of the last
> century, would be closed, perhaps irreversibly. It would be difficult even
> to imagine if and when this regressive process could change direction. (see
> The victory of the closed world
>   ).
> Reading those lines again today, with only two years distance, brings
> shivers to me.
> The price of oil, our main source of energy, reached very high levels, and,
> beyond economic fluctuations, everything makes us think that it will keep
> increasing on a wave of rising demand, due to Asian development (see the
> Alberto Cavallo's article  ). In
> general though, the global economy is stagnant, missing lines of strong new
> industrial development, and is restrained by the narrowness of the energy
> and material resources of our (currently) only planet. The conflicts
> multiply and worsen, rather than finding solutions. In the space of just one
> year we had: tsunamis, hurricanes, and, last, the avian influence.
> Some colleagues, participants of the IAF Congress, held in Fukuoka (Japan),
> October 17th-21st, reported the declarations of some of NASA's exponents:
> that 200 billion dollars, targeted to the reconstruction of New Orleans,
> would be in alternative to the new US space program.
> Is the worse 2033, therefore, already here? Are we already forced to choose
> between expansion into space, (provided such an option was really proposed
> as a strategic choice, and unfortunately it is not so) and a continuous
> series of emergencies?
> It would be more than legitimate to loose heart: our political leaders were
> not able - even before - to see space as more than an easy expedient to tap
> money from tax-payers, ready to tune up for other "responsible, reasonable
> and sustainable" songs, following fashion and popular emotionalism. We don't
> need professional pundits to prophesy that space would quickly drop to the
> tail of the priorities list, long before emergencies imposed any drastic
> choices. Anyone seeing the frequency of contractions of the pregnancy of
> Mother Earth, pregnant with a Baby Solar Civilization, likely near term,
> would very probably expect - as with many underweight childbirths (and still
> nowadays, in less lucky areas of the planet) -tragedy for the mother, or for
> the child, or for both.
> A slogan of Greenpeace comes to my mind, recently seen in the media:
> "Decide. Either you defend the planet, or it will defend itself alone." A
> firm stigmatization of the tone, almost apologetic towards natural
> disasters, and rather threatening towards the victims, it is obviously
> mandatory, for us humanists. To such a slogan, sad and gloomy, I would like
> to oppose with another one, much more effective and that, above all, doesn't
> foretell death and destruction, but on the contrary life and human
> solidarity:
>          "Decide. If you don't defend your kind, nobody will defend it."
> The terrocrats seem to keep on ruling in the whole planet. As we saw there
> are several reasons (real or presumed) in our society, to maintain a state
> of fear, which induces the people to keep on supporting governments that are
> more and more incompatible with strategies of true development. Before the
> fall of the Berlin wall the terrorising function was covered by the
> ideological enemy, beyond the wall, and by the threat of nuclear holocaust.
> Following a short period of disorientation, after the wall's fall, the void
> was filled by various environmental threats, by the terrorism of Al Qaeda,
> by immigration and by the so-called confrontation between civilizations. All
> such threats are anything but scientifically proved (the environmental
> ones), and surely not resolvable by the logic of an eye for an eye and tooth
> for a tooth (the terrorist ones). As for the avian influence, according to
> government experts, shoudn't it have exterminated 16 million people in Italy
> last autumn? Obviously I don't mean to minimize the danger, it could be that
> worse has still to come, so don't stop taking reasonable precautions.
> However we owe to observe that, up to today, we didn't have cases in Europe:
> or we became suddendly very good in prevention (unlike thing), or somebody
> overdid.
> More than ever, the expansion into the extraterrestrial space appears the
> only alternative the the involution of our Civilization. Such a
> consciousness is by now shared by a too narrow number of persons: if you
> share it, please help us to spread it!
> In general terms we are living a situation in which some prophetic words of
> Pope Woytila, often repeated and written by Him in the last years of his
> pontificate "don't be afraid", they sound dangerously subversive! When one
> is afraid, he shoots before trying to understand. This is the stuff we teach
> to our twenty year-old boys, sent around the world, armed to the teeth: to
> be afraid and to inspire fear, thus feeding (and not opposing) the general
> state of terror.
> And if we gave attention to the old Pope, and we stopped being afraid, how
> many and what things could we do? A good question, for the crucial just
> begun year, 2006!
> A tourist, exploring the unknown, can allow terror to paralyse himself if he
> focuses for too long on his own lonely littleness, or instead he can enjoy
> the wonders that he goes on discovering... to govern in a mature way his own
> feelings and emotions, keeping in the background his ability to get scared
> (as a safety system, to warn us when we are really under threat), and to
> enjoy the wonder, the novelties, the discoveries, the evolutionary horizons
> that are progressively disclosed.
> Science and technology immediately lose the devil's horns, tail and clogs if
> we are not afraid, so we regain trust in our abilities to experiment and to
> govern the risks, and to expand human civilization.
> Even an asteroid that would strike our planet in a space of about 30 years
> could be seen as an opportunity if we are not afraid (see Stephen Ashworth's
> prophetic words!: A 10-km asteroid
>  ). It is a challenge,
> sure, but thirty years is a long enough period to face it: remember we
> reached the Moon in less than ten years, 40 years ago! In order to divert
> the stone that would fall upon us, and maybe to use its raw materials to
> build the geo-lunar infrastructure, we need to enormously accelerate the
> development of Astronautics. Technologies exist, know-how and motivation
> also. All we need is to find ways of channelling enough capital: a problem
> of financial engineering, a mere banality if we had a socio-political
> management able to think about development, rather than terrorising people
> to not leave their chairs.
> Technologies of the Frontier believes greatly in the perspective of
> Astronautics, and in the absolute urgency of giving birth to the space
> economy, thus we aim to work ceaselessly for its realization.
> This summer we registered our title at the court. TDF is now fully renewed,
> and it will still change in the next months, to pursue a greater usability
> for all those who share our spirit and our goals. Among other things we have
> launched a strategy targeted to the enterprises of the aerospace sector, and
> to any enterprise or commercial subject interested in Space and
> Astronautics.
> Yes, you understood well: we don't ask for any pedigree, or specialistic
> degrees, from anybody! We are interested in the relationship with whoever,
> firms, small enterprises or individuals, researchers or not, who see their
> future, in full or part, related to Space and Astronautics. We offer space
> is in our magazine, for your articles, description of your projects, or also
> your feelings and opinions about the perspective of geo-lunar space
> industrialization, and on any themes connected to space tourism, be they
> scientific, technological or commercial. We offer to put your business logo
> on the TDF home page (visited by 150-300 visitors per day, for the most part
> belonging to the space international community), with a link to your site.
> We also offer to make common initiatives, specialist forums, search for
> collaborators and offers of collaboration, in the aerospace sector.
> For the summary of this issue please see the editorial written by Jacopo D.
> Cordero , our new Managing Editor.
> TDF 1 2006 includes many articlesi, but we have other ones, which we had yet
> no time to put online. Also, we didn't fully update the correspondance
> sections.
> We'll do it during the next weeks, so keep on reading TDF at
> .
> Aim high!
> Adriano Autino
> and the Editorial Staff of Technologies of the Frontier
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