Re: The crash of NASA's culture


From Damian Georgeff <damian@xxxxxxxxxxxx>
Date Thu, 28 Apr 2005 11:51:08 +0930
References <ABFBEF754127404AA850687E62BD4D64016E3FA7@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>

Greetings Wallace

Thank you for the detailed comparison.

Is there any NASA project, which is in progress or that has been shelved, that
could be finished in a short time frame (with sufficient funds) to serve as an
interim replacement to the shuttle?

Be Well
Damian

"Mc Clure, Wallace A" wrote:

> Matt Wronkiewicz wrote:
> > What do you hope to get out of reinstating the X-33 program?
> > Regardless of how much work remains to be done, the X-33 craft as
> > designed was a suborbital demonstrator, not a Shuttle replacement.
> > Burt Rutan beat the X-33 altitude and payload goals last year.
>
> I'm not a fan of how the X-33 program turned out, and I think Rutan has
> done something that is really cool and quite amazing -- but I couldn't
> let this statement go past.  Just as a note, the X-33 goals were quite
> different than that of Rutan's SpaceShipOne.   The X-33 was specifically
> designed to provide the basis for making a decision to invest in a
> reusable launch system, including both flight and ground test programs.
> The SS1 was designed specifically to win the X-Prize.  Quite different
> goals.   It was expected the X-33 would include
>
>         - Flight test in excess of Mach 10, with a goal of Mach 13 or
> higher.  (This was to demonstrate thermal protection systems suitable
> for orbital reentry).  Rutan's SS1 reached a maximum velocity of Mach
> 3.5.  Since thermal loads run with the kinetic energy of the vehicle,
> which goes as the square of the velocity, the X-33 was expected to have
> more than 10X the thermal loads as SS1, requiring quite a different
> design approach.
>
>         - Flight test to XXX dynamic pressure at velocity.  Rutan's
> vehicle was designed to essentially go straight up and straight back
> down -- and it did go over 300,000'  The X-33 was designed go achieve a
> dynamic pressure on the vehicle structure of XXX at a certain velocity,
> in order to stress the light weight structure while getting the full
> reentry heating condition.   While this may look like around the same
> velocity, it should be noted that SS1 reached 300,000' at essentially
> zero velocity (think of SS1 as a ball thrown upwards, pausing at the top
> of its trajectory before falling back to the earth), whereas the X-33
> was designed to power through the atmosphere at the same altitude at
> more than Mach 10, giving it a much higher dynamic and thermal
> requirement.  If you had fired the X-33 straight up, it would have gone
> quite a bit higher than SS1 -- but that was not why it was going to be
> built.
>
>         - X-33 had NO payload requirement, other than carrying test
> instrumentation.  Rutan's SS1 had to carry a pilot and mass equivalent
> to a passenger, which also meant some type of passenger module.
>
>         - X-33 had to demonstrate light weight structures and thermal
> protection.  Rutan's design did not have light weight, or integrated
> thermal protection as a design goal.  SS1 did have thermal protection,
> but it was a simple spray on ablator, which was possible due to its
> thermal loads 10x less than that of something like the X-33.
>
>         - X-33 had no turnaround requirements per se, although the
> turnaround operations were going to be judged as what was required for
> turning around a reusable orbital vehicle.  SS1 had to meet the X-prize
> turnaround goals.  On paper, these were approximately the same.
>
>         - X-33 was going to demonstrate a highly efficient, integrated,
> reusable propulsion system (the aerospike).  This was needed as part of
> the X-33 goals to demonstrate the propulsion system suitable for a
> reusable orbital vehicle, potentially a SSTO.  Rutan used a replaceable
> low-efficiency hybrid rocket system on the SS1.
>
> Burt Rutan did not beat the X-33 altitude or velocity goals.  He did
> beat the X-33 payload goals, but then the X-33 was not designed to carry
> a payload, whereas the X-Prize requirement (to a lower altitude and
> lower velocity) did have a goal of carrying a passenger.
>
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